Top 3 NBA Betting Picks for Friday, June 18th (2021)

It has been a busy news week for the NBA. Injuries abound, coaches are resigning and getting fired, Chris Paul is in health and safety protocols, Kemba Walker was dumped along with a first round pick by his former coach and current GM, and apparently, Zion Williamson and Luka Doncic may be unhappy with their current situations. Despite the headlines, the NBA Playoffs march on and continue to provide awe-worthy entertainment. Two elimination games on the slate are a great way to shift focus back to the on-court product. 

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1. Clippers +2.5 | -109 at DraftKings Sportsbook

My immediate reaction to the spread for tonight’s game was to tap the Utah Jazz. Donovan Mitchell is reportedly progressing towards being a game time decision, and Mike Conley Jr. may also be making his return. However, what these reports also mean is that both Mitchell and Conley will be playing at less than 100 percent against a Los Angeles team playing at home. The Clippers will lean on Paul George once again, but if players like Reggie Jackson and Marcus Morris step up as they did in Game 5, the Clippers will be hard to beat.

This is especially true if Utah’s last remaining healthy star, Rudy Gobert, continues to see his impact mitigated by the Clippers going small ball. The Clippers will not be the team the public chases, and with news that Mitchell and Conley may both potentially be available making the rounds, the spread for this contest should move in a favorable direction. Wait until closer to game time to see if you can catch +3 or better. 

2. Ben Simmons Under 13.5 Points | -113 at DraftKings Sportsbook

As the juice suggests, the under is not as much of a lock as it was on Wednesday. Ben Simmons and Doc Rivers have heard the criticisms, and that may result in Simmons being more aggressive early. I am not sure how they will manage his minutes if the game is close late, but if Vegas raised the number to 14.5, we would still likely see a similar handle split. Simmons remains a poor fit for the 76ers as currently constructed, and one has to wonder if a potential semi-finals exit could finally spell the end of the failed Joel Embiid-Ben Simmons pairing.

As for Game 6, I believe that he will have the green light early, but that both Doc and Simmons understand that postseason success depends on him getting his teammates going. Simmons has failed to crack 14 points in three of his last four contests and remains a poor bet to do so once again. Simmons will likely need to take 15 shots or shoot north of .625 on 12 shots to hit the 14 points required for the over. Keep the play to one unit due to the lower probability than what we saw on Wednesday. 

 3. Reggie Jackson Over 17.5 Points | -121 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Reggie Jackson is perfectly capable of hitting 18 points when given the requisite minutes and shot volume. And that is exactly what he will get in Game 6. For better or worse, Jackson is the Clippers number two option now. While he will still be asked to play within himself, Jackson will be given the green light to let it fly. Since the start of April, Jackson has cracked 19 points in every game in which he has seen 15 or more shots from the floor. The juice on this prop may very well climb past -135 by game time, so lock this one in sooner rather than later to avoid disappointment.

NBA Prop Bets

Donovan Mitchell Prop Bet Odds
Reggie Jackson Prop Bet Odds
Paul George Prop Bet Odds
Bojan Bogdanovic Prop Bet Odds
Marcus Morris Prop Bet Odds

 Check out our NBA Prop Bet Cheat Sheet for the top bets of the day >>

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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.

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