PGA Betting Picks: Best Prop Bets for the Rocket Mortgage Classic (2021)

The PGA Tour heads back to Detroit this week for the third straight year as the Detroit Country Club (DCG) plays host to the Rocket Mortgage Classic. With a lighter than usual field from a talent perspective, this course is up for grabs as defending champion Bryson DeChambeau is the odds leader in the clubhouse at +700 and will surely be one of the most popular PGA betting picks.

With winners typically going south of -20, this course sets up well for most players on Tour. Expect birdies to be rampant, which should provide for some excitement this weekend.

Let’s take a closer look at the field and see where the value remains.

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Top-20 Finish

Matthew Wolff (+140 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Despite two missed cuts over his last three rounds, I can’t look away from Wolfie this week in a field that lacks this kind of talent. Following a T15 finish at the US Open that found him in contention on Sunday, Wolff missed the cut last week after an opening-round 76 but clawed back a 69 on Friday.

In his most recent appearance DCG, Wolff shot a -20 to finish second, including two 64s on Friday and Saturday to put himself in contention heading into Sunday. I expect another strong showing this weekend, which would set Wolff up well mentally for the season’s final push. Plus, there would be no better story on Tour than seeing this kid pull off a win after the very public battles he’s been fighting over the last few months.

Joaquin Niemann (+115 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Niemann comes into this week with just one appearance at DCG. A 5th place finish in 2019 in which he shot sub-70 in all four rounds (-17). In his 21 starts this season, he has 11 top-25s, two top 2s, and just one missed cut. He’s playing some of the best golf of his life heading into this weekend.

From a recent metric standpoint, Niemann ranks inside the top 10 in strokes gained off the tee, driving distance, and total strokes gained on courses with wider than average fairways. Niemann’s game is designed to tear up this course, and I expect to see him near the top of the leaderboard come Sunday afternoon. A top 10 finish wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest, making him one of my favorite PGA betting picks.

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