Historical NFL Week 16 Lines and Predicted Movement

The New York Jets did the unthinkable and prevented going 0-16 using a gorgeous absolutely mad of the Los Angeles Rams. But, depending on the next statistic possibly it wasn’t so magnificent whatsoever.

By 1978-2017, underdogs of all 17-plus-points won just 3 occasions throughout this 40-year stretch, based on @ESPNStatsInfo.

With the Jets’ mad Sunday, an underdog of all 17+ factors has won in three consecutive seasons (’19:’ MIA +17 over NE;’18:” BUF +17 over MIN).

— David Payne Purdum (@DavidPurdum) December 21, 2020

As Weeks 16 and 17 provide us matchups between teams battling for playoff spots and seeding versus groups which were removed in the playoffs, a lot more double-digit spreads are most probable. More than ever, it’s crucial to follow staff news on interpersonal websites to find clarification about which key players are resting or playing down the stretch.

Here’s a peek at the ancient NFL Week 16 traces along with their called motion during the week (Opportunities courtesy of FanDuel).

Obtain a secure wager around $500 in FanDuel Sportsbook >

Friday, December 25th — 4:30 PM EST

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints (-7)
O/U 52

Predicted Movement: both teams are coming off losses a week, even although Minnesota’s was considerably more destructive than New Orleans’. The Vikings haven’t been formally eliminated from playoff contention, since they’re just two matches of the Cardinals having 2 to play with. But, an additional reduction in their past two matches or you triumph by Arizona would seal their destiny. New Orleans probably doesn’t have a route to the NFC’s No.1 seed as they’re just one game back of the Packers (and lose the tiebreaker) using two matches to playwith. On the other hand, the Saints have clinched a playoff berth and is a lot moved within this one as Tampa Bay is still only 1 game back of these at the NFC South race. Given that Minnesota will be 0-5 ATS in the last five matches, the Saints will probably be wager to -7.5. Should they do, then sharps would probably pounce to the underdogs when they can find the hook.

Saturday, December 26th — 1:00 PM EST

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-9) at Detroit Lions
O/U 53.5

Predicted Movement: It is really a classic matchup of an unmotivated group versus a person with all to play . The Buccaneers are the sixth seed from the NFC and could clinch a playoff berth with a win this past week. They got their sites set greater than that since they go into the week only 1 game back of New Orleans from the NFC South. The Lions are formally removed and revealed little struggle in a 46-25 street loss to the Titans. Don’t expect things to get much better to Detroit in the home, because they’ve dropped their past nine matches as home underdogs. Although this spread might not have to double digits, the entire should tick some up specified that Detroit has allowed 30 or more points in their past four matches.

Saturday, December 26th — 4:30 PM EST

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (-3.5)
O/U 48.5

Predicted Movement: The Arizona Cardinals held a match Eagles team a week, and also need another win to maintain their grip in the seventh and last playoff spot in the NFC. Given the Cardinals overcome a totally healthy 49ers roster 24-20 around the street in Week 1, then anticipate that this distribute to kick even higher given just how much Arizona must perform and just how small San Francisco must perform .

Saturday, December 26th — 8:15 PM EST

Miami Dolphins (-2.5) in Las Vegas Raiders
O/U 47.5

Predicted Movement: The Raiders’ playoff odds are hanging by a thread since they are two games back of the Dolphins and Ravens using 2 matches to playwith. Consequently, any triumph from Miami or Baltimore or some other Las Vegas reduction in the subsequent two months seals their fate. Though Miami is coming from a massive divisional win over New England, they’re also in a scheduling drawback considering Las Vegas played Thursday. Keep a watch out for the amount of accidents to Miami’s running springs in addition to tight end Mike Gesicki. When the Dolphins will get more players activated with this week compared to the a week, then people ought to observe this spread strike the crucial amount of three or greater.

Sunday, December 27th — 1:00 PM EST

Atlanta Falcons in Kansas City Chiefs (-10)
O/U 53.5

Predicted Movement: Every week it appears the Atlanta Falcons discover new methods to blow leads. They had a 24-7 third-quarter guide on Tampa Bay but had been outscored 24-3 from there on. But one bright spot has been the play Matt Ryan who threw for 356 yards and 3 touchdowns. Knowing that players always anticipate Kansas City’s offense to score points, this total could grow to be the greatest in the board at Week 16.

Cleveland Browns (-9.5) at New York Jets
O/U 46.5

Predicted Movement: Oddsmakers are obviously impressed by New York’s win over the Rams, since this line will definitely happen to be double digits whenever they had been entering this week in 0-15. Now the Jets captured the 0-16 monkey off their backs, so the issue is how motivated will they win the following game since they relinquished the rights to the No. 1 choice to Jacksonville for now. The Browns have won five of the past six matches, with the only loss being the Monday night thriller from the Ravens. The Browns are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven matches because road underdogs. But given their lone pay in that interval was contrary to a Giants team at precisely the identical arena they’re playing within this particular week, the Browns will probably get enough vapor to move on the point to double digits.

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5)
O/U 45.5

Predicted Movement: This match may possibly be a playoff trailer since the Colts inched closer to a playoff spot every week. Both these groups have been trending in opposite directions in the ATS standpoint. The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last six matches, while Pittsburgh didn’t pay in three consecutive games going to their Monday night matchup with the Bengals. There’s definitely less buzz surrounding Pittsburgh today than following their 11-0 beginning, which line must proceed towards Indianapolis prior to kickoff.

Carolina Panthers in Washington Football Team (-2.5)
O/U 44.5

Predicted Movement:” Though Washington desperately needs a win to secure their grip on first place in the NFC East, a lot of the discussion leading up to the game will probably be on head trainer Ron Rivera confronting his former group. Sharps will probably narrow towards the Panthers awarded Teddy Bridgewater’s uncanny ability to pay spreads within an underdog. Furthermore, Panthers players understand Rivera’s playbook and his own fashions, which provides them an edge going into the matchup. If Alex Smith is healthy enough to play Washington, this lineup will definitely move through the crucial variety of three. But if Haskins had been to perform , -2.5 is probably Washington’s ceiling out of a spread standpoint.

Chicago Bears (-7.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
O/U 46.5

Predicted Movement: The Jaguars were huge winners despite dropping last week, because the Jets’ win gave them control of their destiny for the No. 1 overall draft choice. Following a month or so of enjoying unbelievably aggressive soccer, the Jaguars have dropped their past two matches with an average of 23.5 PPG. The Bears have a whole lot to play after a massive win over the Vikings a week, even since they sit only 1 game back of Arizona for the NFC’s final playoff spot. Chicago’s offense has scored 30 points in three consecutive matches, and they confront a Jacksonville defense that ranks 30th in scoring. That alone ought to have this over/under signup a few before kickoff.

New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens (-10.5)
O/U 45

Predicted Movement: Even though they enter this match on just a three-game winning series, the Baltimore Ravens all of a sudden have a sense of invincibility and they’ve quickly return to the amount of soccer which helped them get the No. 1 seed from the AFC this past year. Baltimore has scored 121 points in their past 3 matches, and choose a Giants team which managed only six points with all backup quarterback Colt McCoy. In case Daniel Jones is again ruled out with this particular week, the Ravens may kick-off much nearer to -12 or -13 stage favorites given the absence of assurance in McCoy’s capacity to coincide with things with Lamar Jackson.

Cincinnati Bengals in Houston Texans (-9)
O/U 45

Predicted Movement: Even though Houston has dropped three consecutive matches, two of these came from the Colts and so were equally matches the Texans might have won. The Bengals haven’t won a road game in 20 right strives, and therefore are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games. But, Houston is among the worst ATS teams this year with a 5-9 ATS album, therefore this line has probably hit its ceiling even though Cincinnati’s street struggles.

Sunday, December 27th — 4:05 PM EST

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-3)
O/U 48.5

Predicted Movement: Of the totals in the board at Week 16this will be one that I hope to transfer the maximum. These groups combined for 61 points at a 31-30 Broncos win before this year. Denver’s secondary is completely decimated at the present time, and Buffalo’s offense took good advantage into the song of 359 passing yards and 48 points. Although Josh Allen is farther along in his profession compared to Justin Herbert, Herbert has revealed he’s capable of putting up big numbers. The familiarity with competitions usually contributes to lower scoring matches the next time round, but awarded Denver’s vulnerability on protection in the instant this complete should readily climb to the low 50s.

Sunday, December 27th — 4:25 PM EST

Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) at Dallas Cowboys
O/U 49.5

Predicted MovementIt is intriguing to find the Eagles as favorites within the Cowboys, awarded Dallas has a much better overall record and is coming off a win although the Eagles dropped to Arizona a week. But, oddsmakers expect that the gambling public to become mesmerized with Eagles rookie quarterback Jalen Hurts’s popular beginning, since he accounted for 401 total yards and four touchdowns a week. Furthermore, the Cowboys standing dead last in the league enabling 161.8 YPG on the floor, which can be debatable given Philadelphia’s newfound read-option conducting assault. The Eagles are 5-9 ATS, however, Dallas is marginally worse in the 4-10. Don’t be amazed to visit Philadelphia kick-off as nearer to field target favorites, although the line shouldn’t reach the crucial number .

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-2)
O/U 47.5

Predicted Movement: Seahawks backers are very likely to leap on those chances fast whereas the line remains beneath the essential number of 3, particularly contributed Los Angeles’s perplexing loss to the Jets last week. But as catastrophic as that loss was, the Rams still command of their own fate for the NFC West division title. In case Los Angeles can defeat the Seahawks this week along with the Cardinals in the home following week, then they’d be division winners because they’d have the head-to-head tiebreak over Seattle. Because Seattle is 1 match on the Rams entering this week, then they’d clinch the NFC West with a win. The Rams won the first meeting between the groups 23-16 in Week 10. The Rams will be 8-6 ATS this season while Seattle’s ATS album is 7-7.

Sunday, December 27th — 8:20 PM EST

Tennessee Titans in Green Bay Packers (-3.5)
O/U 56

Predicted Movement: Aaron Rodgers in Lambeau Field in December is really a gorgeous thing. The Packers have been 20-2 SU and 17-5 in their past 22 December home matches. However, since we saw this past year at the AFC playoffs, Tennessee’s running game using Derrick Henry travels fairly well. That is setting up for a experts vs. joes game using all the sharps about the underdogs. On the other hand, the total amount of public money that’s very likely to emerge in on Green Bay needs to go online to -4 or high.

Monday, December 28th — 8:15 PM EST

Buffalo Bills (-6.5) at New England Patriots
O/U 45.5

Predicted Movement: The Buffalo Bills are playing within their fourth-straight nationally televised match for this match being around Monday night. They surely haven’t seemed to mind the glowing lights considering they’ve covered the spread in every one of the past six matches, and input this match winner of the two of the past eight matches. New England was eliminated from playoff contention with their loss to Miami a week, however we could anticipate head coach Bill Belichick to inspire them and revel in the part of spoiler. The Patriots fought with New England at a near 24-21 triumph at home before this year, also Josh Allen is only 1-3 against them in his profession. Those numbers should continue to keep this line below a touchdown weekly, regardless of how sexy Buffalo is in this time.

Obtain a secure wager around $500 in FanDuel Sportsbook >

Register: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Whether you are new to sports gambling or a gaming ace, our How To Gamble and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice webpages are for you personally. You can begin using our Sports Betting 101 Department — such as 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or mind to more complex sports gambling strategy — such as Key Numbers If Betting Against the Spread — to find out more.

Mike Spector is a featured author at BettingPros. To learn more from Mike, have a look at his record and follow @MikeSpector01.