The Hawks head into Game 4 of this series with an injured Trae Young and their championship hopes hanging in the balance. They’ll need to win this game to avoid falling into a two-game hole, and I suspect that they’ll do their best to keep this one competitive. Here are a pair of player props that hold considerable value for tonight’s action.
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1. P.J. Tucker Over 5.5 Rebounds | -102 at FD Sportsbook
Tucker has been a fantastic rebounder against the Atlanta Hawks this year. In the playoffs, he has averaged 7.3 rebounds per game when playing the Hawks; he has recorded rebound totals of 8 (Game 1), 7 (Game 2), and 7 (Game 3). Although he recorded only 3 rebounds in one game against the Hawks in the regular season, he played just 16 minutes in that matchup.
Through all four contests that Tucker has played against the Hawks, he is averaging 8.28 rebounds per 36 minutes. With his recent uptick in playing time following Donte DiVincenzo’s injury, he should get the minutes necessary to surpass this total; he has averaged 31.3 minutes per game since replacing DiVincenzo in the starting five.
That said, the Hawks have been decent at limiting rebounds this year. They allowed 49.8 per game in the regular season, the fifth-best such rate in the NBA. Fortunately for Tucker, Atlanta has fallen off in the playoffs — they have allowed 55.7 rebounds per game to Milwaukee through Game 3.
2. Trae Young 4+ Made Threes | +164 at FD Sportsbook
With Young’s line for made threes set at 2.5 (-170), I’m pivoting to this play instead. The star point guard is questionable for tonight’s action with a bone bruise on his right foot, an injury that visibly slowed him down in Game 3. But I’m not targeting this prop despite the injury — I’m targeting it because of it.
Young attempted a season-high 14 three-pointers against the Bucks in Game 1 and sunk six of them. For some perspective, Young has attempted 14 or more three-point shots just seven times in his three-year NBA career. He failed to attempt more than 12 three-pointers in the regular season this year. Yet he opted to lob up three-point shots galore in Game 3, and I suspect his injury will lead to more of the same tonight.
While I’m opting to feature this prop in my article, the over on Young’s traditional three-point line may also be worth an investment.
NBA Prop Bets
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P.J. Tucker Prop Bet Odds
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